Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.341704 3.713026 4.115573 4.585536 5.120572 5.712375 6.418775
2025-05-04 2.851968 3.359074 3.948344 4.688162 5.598397 6.689730 8.109291
2025-05-11 2.521203 3.098475 3.804478 4.740635 5.963139 7.524539 9.700840
2025-05-18 2.278007 2.895898 3.683201 4.774668 6.272030 8.289100 11.272556
2025-05-25 2.026999 2.647105 3.463602 4.637151 6.313720 8.674793 12.347603
2025-06-01 1.851993 2.476925 3.324196 4.582209 6.447037 9.183090 13.644949
2025-06-08 1.713822 2.341664 3.215605 4.552166 6.601833 9.725933 15.052683
2025-06-15 1.650765 2.304428 3.238811 4.711477 7.050078 10.758742 17.386470
2025-06-22 1.547532 2.199227 3.151712 4.691483 7.210349 11.343481 19.038738
2025-06-29 1.449302 2.093080 3.053108 4.641436 7.311739 11.834481 20.586136
2025-07-06 1.317450 1.926520 2.849082 4.403287 7.073025 11.709974 20.964366
2025-07-13 1.258373 1.867609 2.807770 4.426399 7.280031 12.390647 22.986289
2025-07-20 1.216529 1.834250 2.806683 4.520490 7.628402 13.384531 25.833431
2025-07-27 1.176102 1.800285 2.801858 4.607388 7.972941 14.415726 28.949018
2025-08-03 1.131776 1.756682 2.777273 4.656169 8.249893 15.347920 32.018201
2025-08-10 1.088281 1.711342 2.745966 4.688994 8.497878 16.250687 35.188535
2025-08-17 1.020062 1.620166 2.629467 4.554306 8.400319 16.415417 36.612662
2025-08-24 0.970626 1.558002 2.559343 4.500510 8.459312 16.921844 38.981468
2025-08-31 0.928767 1.506435 2.504500 4.471098 8.564770 17.542895 41.768940
2025-09-07 0.917284 1.507137 2.543338 4.627036 9.077601 19.160935 47.601782
2025-09-14 0.881468 1.462518 2.496228 4.607466 9.207029 19.893922 51.103564
2025-09-21 0.844088 1.413054 2.437031 4.558481 9.265664 20.462268 54.247289
2025-09-28 0.785041 1.321395 2.293536 4.325351 8.884864 19.889299 53.780680